" You want to hear all the time -- in April was a -- struggles and man this guy is really have a hard time and and youth teams still give my hundred at bats are given given the bigger sample. -- explained that in probability chances."

" It is they're Thomas at this you have to factor in sample size one thing I like to help teach people with it is that. If you take a quarter and you flip it you're 5050 chance I would be heads or tails. Now every so often you flip it you might get it heads to heads eight times a rope. Does that mean in the long run you have better odds of getting heads know it's always if you flip it enough times going to be 5050. The same thing happens in baseball the guy's hot at the beginning cold in the beginning compared to his career numbers compared to his fifth like we've been talking about. Then he's going to overtime typically regress back to that average. That's why we take batting average that's why we take earned run averages those averages are very important in this game. It's why if rookie in his Major League debut has a rough start. Does it isn't always going to pitch bat like that no not always he's probably going to regress back to what he really is and it's very important looking at baseball players."

" And so it's interesting because we talk about fielding independent pitching or fifth which we have the whole time minutes it's a way of essentially measuring. ER and ERA. But just -- things that pitchers can control. Let something people start to talk about all of the more recently. But if you look over the numbers in history it's incredible kind of measured as we look at some of these guys. Nolan Ryan 82 point 97 career -- three point one -- any all right Roger Clemens three point 093 point 120 fax to 69276. Don -- 3243. 26 Ferguson Jenkins 33334. So that that's just a small size -- did he go through almost. Looks like the fifth really matches up with the."

" And authorities here -- only taking into account strikeouts walks hit batters and home runs given up. There's so many things that can happen in a game there can be boxer can be pick -- wild pitches passed balls sac flies all the things that happen and a baseball game. Are averaged out and really comes down to those four things that a pitcher controls. Often times determine his long term success so how did you use this to be the pitcher that you work. You know people use this for a bunch of different reasons fans use -- for fantasy baseball and making trades. Front offices GMs use it and I'm going after players -- and recurring player. I use it for player development and I think it's it's the future of where players are headed. You can look at the things they go into determining your success on the baseball field. If you start to control those factors and you start to increase your strikeouts lower your walks increase your ground ball rate and therefore giving up less home runs in the long run. You're going to be more successful player you're gonna help your organization when games and hopefully bring yourself that much closer to image of which is why we're all here."

" Because so finally as we look at the rays lineup for today. We felt along with his ball into the felt -- that's very difficult -- you to say."

" You know I always think the probability approach pitching the way -- those MIT guys have put black Jack and thank god it's not always going to work out of these figures from the -- here."

" going to be successful most of the time. And that you really just trying to authored -- when -- walks in his new ground balls as possible and give your team a chance to win."

" And then careful fly balls and every now and then some of the it at all but otherwise he controls things you can control."

" Yep that luck is definitely a part of this game but that's -- makes -- so much fun nobody can control a game. But we all have fun trying our best that it also fascinating stuff very good luck against the rays and we appreciate those. And you very much in here."