" Lewis showed you how to make money general manager Elsa Portillo. Works MSNBC. And experience to the -- We're creating our. You're number one source career. NFL favorites are on the ball going 21 night against the spread the past two weeks raising their season they record with 36 and 26 versus the oddsmakers."

" Heading into today's action. I've won I'm out DiMarco what may be good in. And together will be joining you every Sunday of the football season but our pregame show as we break -- games from a gambling perspective. Now today we've got four games were gonna focus on Philadelphia Tampa -- Francisco Atlanta Baltimore Cincinnati and Dallas Kansas City. -- gonna give you our thoughts and betting strategies regarding the playing the part ways and teaser. You know as a handicap -- I'm always trying to analyze gains from every angle."

" But you you wearing a different set of skills to the table here because. As a former book maker as creator of the offshore online wagering industry. I wanted to get your perspective something I look at all -- ATF trend statistical on now it. Do you think back how. Or hurt gambler when it comes time to make their wagers well definitely hurt gambler I mean it's a big difference between handicap like -- out. Twenty years in the business running -- large or being the largest sports and our company on the web. Looking at friends and take those into consideration. But when the players out there read these trends they all public that they don't realize that the line already has these trends contemplated. Well how yet you look at the trend it's great players. Absolutely not. Sometimes you think it too much knowledge is overkill for them right when you look at the games in the lines you know that the trends. Tell a picture of how the line got that way and that -- your handicapping begin. And that's where soccer ball all the way and you know and truth be told I always say this that for every trend you find the support he may. I can find seven to fourteen B I mean sometimes it's a matter -- computer analysis here it's like debate club yeah exactly. No ironically -- report weeks' supply last season but Abrams were 3325. In two versus the spread. This year 3626. Hardly any different but there's one trend now. I wanted to get your take on and this is rolling amazing -- straight up winners twelve into against the spread last weekend. After going hit. -- 18 he asked each of the previous two weeks so regular season play so far this year. They're 53 and nine and go back to the pre season start pre season. 109. Wins fourteen law and -- questions. I mean so basically what -- trying to telling you you could just pick the straight up winner you've got the points bread winner to eating and per cent clip. Now I've never seen anything like that in my twenty odd plus years in the business. I just want to get your take that once again."

" I think there are two factors at play here I think first the ball in the NFL there's usually one or two really bad team. This year you've got I ever expect teams and the difference between the bad teams. And the only. -- European -- greatest ever I think what happens here is that you know -- makers aren't used to putting up double digit lines and they don't really like to do that. All they haven't really -- the airlines yet I think as the season progresses. The -- bigger is always catch up the reality. I think the second thing is is -- I think the way the ball bounces at the end of the game has been very instrumental look where both funny game last Monday we had Minnesota over Green Bay. And even on that last drive when Green Bay looked like they get the chance to court cut down they want the pick in the -- all. And we both went I think luck will catch up in the end and those games leaving now."

" Knowing your past we always talked about parity free agency. Salary cap cause parity in the NFL but I think you had a compound a key point here. There are number of teams the brown. Having the bottom dweller there and having the good teams. There isn't as much parity there's not as much middle ground and I think that's good point that you brought up that's why you have many of the straight up winner covering the spread and of course I always like the thinking of the opening of the season -- the advantage over the oddsmakers. Because eventually they need to get the sharper lines and they do eventually make money and that's why -- have a game like Monday night with two close -- Green Bay in Minnesota. The big viewership in the history of Monday Night Football. Not exactly and look what happened final drive of banking at Green Bay at -- touchdown instead of they'll go we vote at the Vikings we were celebrating we won -- event celebrating. If -- confident he had gotten the TV instead settling for the field goal one of those games would lose I think he catcher money's -- action we always like to win more absolutely. Now at first and we're gonna breakdown today as the Philadelphia Tampa Bay contest. Now the Eagles are coming off a -- and it was a much needed bye week because of course they got Donovan McNabb how they've got Brian Westbrook healthy. But they're hosting Tampa Bay here Tampa Bay is a bad team and that is why the numbers astronomical fifteen points what do you think."

" While looked Donovan McNabb returned for the first time in the wake Koppen been playing. I don't know that's a good thing or bad thing. This is one of those games we talked about the trends earlier we'd just throw them all out you've got one really good team. From the players to the coaches to the organization with the Eagles plane gets really bad -- with a box. And the thing is -- gonna look at you point line and they're gonna get there and they're gonna either take the points or pass on the game completely. But to me that that typical ball maker trapped. Don't fall into it I'm not betting game but if you're gonna bet this game me the point that he."

" Now one thing in Philadelphia paper coming off the buying tremendous -- Andy Reid's tenure in fact Eagles won seventeen of their last 21 straight up off the buy in and that stretched it covered fifteen times including eight of the last nine. They've also covered seven of their last nine as a home favorite including ninth game against Kansas City. Just couple weeks ago game which they crossed the Chiefs 3414. 420 total yards for the Eagles 196 total yards for the Chiefs in this one. Attorney -- Tampa Bay is not much better -- Kansas City in this game. When you look at the -- and they have lost eight in a row going back Atlanta your one point spread cover in that stretch defensively. They've allowed over 200 yards rushing. Into -- Atlanta regained pass defense 222 yards average they're giving up 61% completions all reading nine touchdown passes for only two interceptions. In four games. And I don't think it helps and all that they Auburn which quarterbacks couple games into the season this is a team remember that fired or offensive coordinator with two weeks left in the pre season. Josh Johnson is not the answer quarterback here so I'm with you I think if you play you gotta lay the points. And you have to look from McNabb to come out here even though it's probably going to be wearing a flak jacket it -- protect that at broken -- Had a big big game put up a lot of point. Maybe even goes over but I think equals nine point way to -- any -- he doesn't and -- had a coming up a lot more competent at the heat in the last few weeks that you would ordinarily exactly back to back -- yard -- for coming cop. And the next game on tap is the San Francisco Atlanta and FC west showdown. You know guys out much like the Eagles on three and out with my place -- Philadelphia they're going on or against them same deal with the Atlanta. Matter of fact I won against the Falcons in their last game two Sundays ago prior to the bye week when they went up to new England and lost at the Patriots not one. They are Ivan oh straight up awful loss last season and -- on nine and 48 yes run for his non division -- Now I know San Francisco beat Saint Louis last week 35 nothing and granted it looked great on the final score but I always say you know again it dig deeper in the box score and I looked at the box score on going. How the San Francisco won this game with 228 net yards it because like Lewis turned the ball over constantly and meet single gave them. The game at tallies he wasn't and I look at the same for the team could beat beat beat beat Arizona. Well okay Arizona went to the admirable last year but as we seem. Arizona is not that good of a teen guys. They beat Seattle minus Matt Hasselbeck big deal. -- be -- Louis they played a good game Minnesota they did lose acting but you know because Brett farce and our walks on the final play of the game. Tom I eat like Atlanta in the game getting the -- winning a point I think Atlanta's gonna win this game --"

" It is a very tough game -- not a relief of mine I look at it Matt Ryan and that Atlanta and is nothing short of legal they can score and score quickly. But the thing about -- goalies with Mike Singletary he's got them playing good -- on both sides of the field and I think as I really look at this game -- difference is gonna be the home court advantage I believe that -- very -- east coast scheme to travel to the west coast and -- real good west coast home squad like efforts -- I looked for emphasis go to cover here again it's a tough call but. But I -- am gonna differ with I still like that happens -- Frank Gore probably. If he plays he's not even near a 100% and that I still like Atlanta won the scheme out right. We're gonna take a short break when we return even -- going to be giving you our -- On parlay and -- betting strategy."

" booed -- here president. Yeah -- the larger picking bomber in the world wanna take active talk about my neighbor down. Any -- to -- work Darren and I need. I've played in my entire life. I guess you could say. I know that out like the back of my hand for me there's only 10 Al. It truly captures the last eight at -- like no other and that is. All into -- another hotel -- you know in world famous downtown -- For those of you overrated bit there you know exactly what are those -- you -- might work it brilliant period. All new golden nugget hotel Las Vegas just haven't done a like it was meant to be done now here's the good news. Every thirty days our night we're gonna elect one lucky winner and give him a three VIP weekend all it had paid. -- golden nugget that include VIP -- back and forth from the airport. VIP check in no standing on line. And I high -- week that'll knock knock off will also go to throwing. VIP seating -- the amazing. Gordy brown show no means no credit card and no registration. And they're content just go to our site click on the link that VIP weekend giveaway. -- your email address. And it your information there September winners already been chosen we announced a variety and the October winner we're gonna announce on November part. So get every VIP weekend and -- large at that golden nugget old Allah may."

" I guys out -- your general manager pick nascent dot com and I've got a special offered a good today only listen. You can get the plays of all -- nation handicap or for today and a Al action. 43. Simply by sending an email to pick nation for our customer service like on the web site that's right you can get the playing and tapper up O'Bryant. Act in jolt Tyson Pete Angela. McNeal and Charlie Sutton all of our plays from all handicap or today. For hurry if you simply go to picnics and dot com click on the customer service like and send an email what will happen is it. We won't match. Our customer service department Wilbon and you an email with the Senate -- that will get you all -- from those six handicap purse but a knee expert. War -- no strings attached guys it's a one day only special take advantage of it. Do not that way and that email to our customer service like right now at picnic. Dot com."

" Now we've got a couple more games break down later in the show out there were Cincinnati Dallas Kansas City but every week we wanna take a small segment of the show and talk about. Some betting strategies and Steve one of the things I wanna talk about. You know 25 plus years here's -- handicap and I wanna talk first about partly. Only part laser for soccer. I always tell guys they always come up to me and said hey you know I put this game with this team -- parlay it to get elected when -- And -- it's like home you know how hard -- is to win one game. One game it's hard -- to -- why are you trying to win more money by putting the winners together. They just play one because odds makers the bookmakers. The sports books are all out there they're just waiting for you only part way written across your forehead they're going soccer. Lockett I guess the next book maker we always loved the partly because -- asked if you're gonna -- partly to -- only look. Delaware just accepted sports betting but there's a reason why when you go to -- Sounds they'll only let you bet Charlie's no straight heading in Delaware so we know -- suckers bet we know the advantage of that house look I'm not totally against it if you make some big plays and you wanna thrown together and make a small parlay for fun. Remember what -- doing here is for fun and he got -- pass -- on -- are greatly while I think you hit on the key point here that we should at least emphasize even though I think partly as a ridiculous for suckers. If your best bet is a high selection if you wanna make a smaller partly wager okay one thing I would suggest so you never doubled -- Let's say the viewers -- your best bet do not let the viewers together with the Chargers and partly to meet at double dipping. Because then if viewers don't deliver. You go for two automatically -- you're at a lock if you're gonna play that partly. A smaller wager -- two other teams to put together because inevitably. When you look at a card now I found over the years I'd like to narrow the court and a -- one game may -- to max it. Most likely most of you out there probably three or four games that you like one that you -- a second one that almost a month -- I would take a secondary place tournament small park like. But again never double -- do you great I agree completely you know again -- she'd just be for fun OK next thing though -- users. A lot of guys get used to -- well parlay and teaser with the same well gamblers obviously know there's a big difference but. More importantly the philosophy behind them. How much different I love teaser. I only like two and -- where your standard six point when you get in the play with from the oddsmakers have from the book maker. I don't not between three and users once again because I think the more you manipulate the minds. Them fourteen you put in a teaser the greater the odds are against you because you've got to win. Three plays that it too I think that routine easier when you got six points when you're looking at. Eight for I don't like playing under dogs and a teaser but I like playing favorites and upon looking at a paper and I can take. From ten points down to four from nine points down to three. Anywhere down a close to pick them. I love that especially if I've got the better team. Or the whom paper I can take them down to pick them to a field goal I -- putting those teams and they and he's two gamers --"

" Truth is is that -- one side he's certainly soccer -- But I've known many -- many professional gamblers that -- like yourself to their advantage. The biggest problem with it easier is that starts out with the customers like one game. -- game. He liked it you don't wanna -- all the points and he won't let me put this game -- it easier because -- they'll win by eight but certainly when I do. And now they haven't even looked at the rest of the card yet they have the first gold shirts and find another game that -- is much and then. Rolled -- team in to make the game that they like work. That's where customers are having a problem expects you -- this week. Lot of double digit favorite lot customers are gonna be looking at the three team -- Iraq and who they don't wanna leave that head. They wanna be picked up. And that's a good place that would -- to go search for the other two games and that these games that the people jumped out there right away. In these games in that they don't really love. Just that justified the one he's here that. And that's where the bookmakers have you because they need to play three games in that want also something you might not know is that 85%. Of the time when you cover your user play. You've covered the game anyway."

" Exactly and one thing I think that I find it beneficial for me when I'm handicapping the court I will go down with Sam typical NFL Sunday I will put first -- one -- The teams that I like -- elections straight up. Then I would make another column where there are teams that I like that just have the white user numbers when I see. You or playing at home playing nine points and now. I immediately hey I might not be wanting to -- nine point but the viewers but I think in my out. And but it went idly if you'll go with Pittsburgh in this particular spot Indianapolis saint type of team New England to sing type team so. Listen natural inclination -- we all lean toward the paper it's a basic human nature he handicap for I think -- in March part of majority of them do the same exact thing. Nothing wrong with that favorite certainly can deliver. But you have to be prudent -- rely on the paper and play them and put him over and Yzerman well that's a difference between professional handicap like you out. And the regular customers at home that are up for air and that's what -- come to a site that's what service. So there you go that's our philosophy on caesar's and part ways next week we'll touch on another gambling subject and are betting strategies regarding it. When we come back at the short message will be breaking and the final two games on today's card Baltimore Cincinnati and Kansas City."

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" I guys out of market your general manager pick nascent dot com and I got a best soap opera that's good today only. Listen you can get the plays of all six -- nation handicapped or are today and it -- action. For -- Simply by sending an email to -- and our customer service -- on the web site that's what you can get the -- and handicap -- up O'Brien Brett. In jolt Tyson Pete Angela. Amy -- and currently not in all their play from all handicap purse today. For Corey if you simply go to picnics and dot com click on the customer service like and send us an email what will happen is it we won't -- Our customer service department and Ewing email with the pass -- that will get you all of the -- place from those picks and campers that expert. For -- no strings attached guys it's a one -- only special. Take advantage of it do not that way and that email our customer service like right now at picnic in. Dot --"

" Two games left to preview and next -- gonna take a look at the Baltimore Cincinnati game who would have guessed the first place me in north would be day when he who met. Course Baltimore suffering its first loss last week. New England meanwhile Cincinnati is one wacky play against Denver way. From being undefeated coming into the conference big number 88 and a half point. Which way you --"

" Look Baltimore's the real deal no doubt about it. You know they go into New England last week and play an emotional game a few bad -- they drop the ball in I depend on the Ottawa could be the winning drive. I don't know how that emotion carries board this week and you look at all the scouting report and they tell you the same thing the angles don't have a shot. I think the bagels read that scouting report. They think they can actually win this game and you know me as a gambler. That makes a very dangerous team that bet on or against. So media look at this game and I hate with Ochocinco. And hallmark in part to make even if I'm wrong and the bagels don't have a shot. That backdoor cover is always in polite well I'm not gonna -- that gave but it you have -- That the Bengals and think the point before we get my -- the quick question where are you at all aren't. Net nanny needed practically the whole overtime. To beat Cleveland we when we. Americans aren't the only difference is that in that Cleveland game is like a mini Super Bowl in that town Cleveland Browns that they get up for no other game all -- and they get up for the bagels and the fact that the big could overcome that and win when the chips were down. I actually like backing them."

" You think the momentum carries over -- game. I gotta tell them I'm porno porno with my eyes going on against Baltimore and I want with again -- we have the Patriots and the person lost 2721. But I have to be honest you know fourteen of the Patriots point word -- direct result of two roughing the quarterback. Penalties. Against Baltimore the very quite a man that rule because the pre yes yet as Brady rules you don't wanna touch -- god. But bottom which has been a money making machine since John Harbaugh -- 17618. Under his tenure. Eight into AT and pound and -- point last day at ten games in fact they've been a favorite of covered nine times. What I've really liked about Baltimore this here is the way the offense has really carried the team. I don't leave the Baltimore defense has been nearly as strong as its record reputation. Would lead you to believe but the offense 510 yards -- first game 311 and second -- 47 in -- game number three. 363. Total yards last weekend New England. You know they swept the series last year I won them both comfortably average winning margin in 67. -- I kind of like Baltimore here but. You know we just got done talking about teaser and here's what I would suggest here I think this is a great number guarantees you're looking at 88 and hander to team teaser and six point. I would take Baltimore down at worst you're playing in a field goal. And I would teased them with hit Burke a team that as continually failed in the fourth quarter to deliver. But is and another. Are not gonna beat them lines I think by at least seven. So I would keys Baltimore and Pittsburgh together in at a -- Baltimore straight up and the one thing about Pittsburgh I don't let -- are the here. But Ben Roethlisberger. Threw better and is not -- game he knows he's focused he's gonna compete again and try to defend their crown. So nice -- take a look at is Dallas and Kansas City. My goodness what you say about the Cowboys while I am overeat or you know what my picks and Bob and the Cowboys -- here I took a pass on him last week against Denver but I had to be honest with. I had no clue was gonna win that game I thought it was a very typical spot for Dallas coming up the -- nineteen which I had them against Carolina. Didn't play exceptionally well. You better thank you Adam well but we did get a cover. Problem with the Cowboys seven in eighteen again to spread their last 25 more road games versus AFC. But then let's look at Kansas City here alone four straight up and against Brett it only cover three of their last fifteen games at arrowhead. Tony Romo now is going to be facing. And FL defense that is ranked 28 in the league against the pass this defense doesn't get to the quarterback they only had ten sacks all the way here. Now they've got five sacks in four games this year so somewhat of an improvement but I look at what's happened to that secondary it has been -- when you don't put the pressure on the quarterback. That those defensive backs are out there by themselves and that's why they've already given -- touched campaign hasn't had two interceptions in four games. -- set I think was a top spot for now last week at Denver. But I think this is a great spot so lay the big number with now. -- if they're gonna win big this is a team that they can be."

" Big numbers without really scares me you know Dallas -- become a law against them are true. -- and end this thing about the game for me is when you look at Kansas City. You know the season's over them -- they got first year coach Todd Haley he's been way way way over his head. And that's why I think I like balance in this spot. Because -- last week. He really need to show something here they need to pick up momentum we have no need to have a good game if he's gonna compete with the Giants are hitting their stride and playing flawless football I would. -- Dallas to try to run the score up here get a real feel good game they got momentum going lower and trying to. Become an elite team in the league again I mean he -- get back."

" From a little bit this year they Willingham played well in an opening we go win at Tampa Bay when neglect the Buccaneers with a big second can't. Otherwise -- went against Carolina as we just noted I mean they were walking. They we were fortunate to get the -- they were lucky to win the game because Carolina outplayed them in the first at the -- in. Lot of people really feel that they're missing -- hear a lot of people -- that Romo just doesn't have the guns to go to like you do and it showing up and -- are so let's recap today's picks we both like Philadelphia allowing the big wood against Tampa Bay. We all or both on down think they'll get the job done laying the points at Kansas City. Now we split on Cincinnati and Baltimore you -- in love with the Cincinnati Bengals in this game I just don't see it I mean I like Baltimore little. I think the waited on this game that was a teaser with Baltimore and that scared me that I loved them they -- me you know I mean if we take a court again. You know took a goal and pop always think -- you know come up with these plays at the end of eighty of where was this team the whole game quite unbelievable and in the end they cover it scares me. -- certainly did great job but for coming back in the final minutes and getting that winning touchdown to beat the viewers at home. I thought it as a -- I'd lean a little toward Baltimore I don't think the way to go that was teaser here again take the Ravens in the Steelers down reducing the pointer line with both favorites. Then of course San Francisco and Atlanta. I think the Falcons are gonna win the scheme out right -- point road dog but that's -- with. I mean your love what Mike Singletary -- the 49ers I mean you love Sampras on a feel good play but I think that singletary got airport has -- playing with heart. I think that when he was middle linebacker but that's for the Bears he -- he can destroy attitude I think that carried over to the team I like them in the by that. Thanks so there you go that's our recap and now remember you can get all your scores your odds your injuries weather reports and more including -- everything you need to be a winner today and tomorrow us. Right here on line. And make sure you catch to Marshal Steve and I. Breakdown the Miami New York Jets Monday night matchup as well."