Current Video: Pick Nation: Week 12 Picks
The experts at Pick Nation make their Week 12 NFL selections. Find out who you should take when the Dolphins visit the Bills, plus more picks.
Full Transcript (Automatically generated. May not be 100% accurate)
" The NFL's going to the -- not literally but at least figuratively in Las Vegas. For the puppies gravitas to the tune of 96 and one against the spread last week. That means the dogs have now -- to the tune of 3619. And two versus the oddsmakers. -- we combine in and so we -- guys when not -- are barking like that only that things are happening they're both bad. Gamblers are losing their shirt and bookmakers are making big money. I ever won on out Marco along with me being booed and every Sunday throughout the football season where joining you here with our pregame as we break and -- game from a gambling perspective. Four games were isolating today Miami Buffalo Cleveland Cincinnati San Diego Kansas City and the Jets Carolina clash. And a little later in the show Steve and I will be in the importance of knowing when to place your bat and why are crucial the shop around for the price in the game were going to be looking back at. It's acting with Indianapolis and Baltimore last week because those two factors came in the play. Determining whether you want you are or you push your bat at Watkins nightly look at -- exactly and is for a book making that that your. Now before we get started a few more ATS trends for you to digest. Double digit dogs a weapon of Ivan won against the spread the -- for weeks that's a complete reversal from earlier in the season. One of double digit favorites were money in the bank. And for the season but -- hold us like slight edge against the paper tomorrow night or eighteen over 500 versus the oddsmakers. Meanwhile road teams now. 8771. And one again right after going 105 and one versus the number Atlanta we can again. As I would like the point and I don't lie but why the road team's doing well because the underdogs are doing well -- teams generally are the dog. And then finally the one trend that we always like to bring up because it has been money in the bank all season long. If this rate up and winners guys they went ten and 510 I think one against spread last week. They are 11731. And do. Against spread betting when during the regular season. That is nearly 81 for and if we had that magic formula. If we had that genie in the bottle that we could say hey this team's -- went straight up we -- we were being bag wanna be doing a hell we'd be -- every straight -- winner but as we -- at last week you know what exactly do you think. I mean who would've guessed that these two teams to win the game straight up let -- covered the red but it shows that it is a phenomenal trend. And it held through one of my point by your handicap right never seen straight up winner. Cover and eighty number and clip. -- they would need to exactly by the way the rate of one Carter pre season 17836. And six. Versus the oddsmakers now let's kick -- off of our first game today the AFC east clash between the Dolphins and bills in Buffalo Miami the light. Three and a half point favorite in this one now the Dolphins idle since last Thursday. When does that -- a point road dog -- up at Carolina. Border seventeen meanwhile the bill. Coming off an 1815 home loss to Jacksonville that was Buffalo's third rate home loss. Do you doubled home dog here ordeal like it with a Koppen."
" Flat another -- that undo that week at my premium -- ending my run now the Warren won with those plays on the web site obviously looking to keep that momentum going. Buffalo interim head coach Perry who got his hand ball. Make matters worse the already banged up bills -- or more injuries. In last week's heartbreaking loss that exact. Miami on the other hand in the absence of their best pop and a player and leading rusher. Ronnie Brown got a very strong showing from Ricky Williams last week against Carolina. -- rushed for a 119 yards. And three touchdowns. It's obvious that richt is ready to leave this Miami team I just don't think the bills can come back emotionally. Physically from last week. On the goal at the topic here leave the point -- that old -- go get a little insurance I had that and stick with the fish. -- And I."
" I -- Miami's twenty straight and five at seven and that is strictly coincides with the fourth week of the season. One after Miami started the year only 38 hammered Buffalo at home 38. And again on what they dominated time of possession 37 minutes of land for two -- that the yards. Even though Ronnie Brown is out Ricky Williams certainly going to be able to shoulder the load. Last week against Carolina on the road when he carries 119 yards in the bottom line yours Buffalo can't stop the run. Thirty or in the lake there's only thirty teams guys that they give up a 106. Yards a game four point nine yards a carry. You alluded to another crippling injury on the offensive line -- the bill last week -- has a team that's given up 27 -- year Miami 29. Act on the season. They -- acts of Trent Edwards in the upper -- the actor starting. He is no more mobile and Trent Edwards is so I'm with you. The Dolphins have covered three straight in the series they've won and covered three straight as well. In the series and by the way they covered three straight on the road I like coming into the game I'm with you by -- can't point and you go with the Dolphins in this contest. Now the next game with Cincinnati in Cleveland. I warned everybody -- my radio interviews last week that. The angles weren't a precarious position because coming up huge out of the Pittsburgh a young team prone to be you know letdown situation that's exactly what happened they lost one to seventeen at Oakland. Meanwhile the Browns up point 43 at Detroit -- 3837. Getting a couple of TV here the LA it or do you --"
" By the book maker I don't remember in the bank at two touchdown favorite like 1990. When guys that just how bad the Browns are. They finally got something going offensively last week as Brady Quinn threw four touchdown passes. And they built around the way to lose the -- goes on the the opera and embarrassing loss last week. The Raiders and I'm sure they'll be coming back with a vengeance. And that's why we need doctor big line here however bettors beware the first time these two teams met this year -- It took the final play in OT but the angle to win 2320. The Browns. It always get up the play the angles and just like last week with the -- in the balance a little roll the dice here. Take -- two touchdown with Cleveland as they get ready for what should be the last. Important game for the main -- now look I know I said last week never bet on Cleveland but -- In actuality I'm not betting on them it just a prepaid you're ticketed on -- my head I'm taking the two touchdowns goal with the --"
" hey listen you know the first time these two met. The out angles were coming off the viewers up at they had a let down that's why they needed overtime to win 2320. You know last week against the Raiders. The Bengals were playing without Centre dancing -- they don't managed to out in Oakland 348 to 75. Because Bernard got that temperament and ran for a 119 yards and one carries in a band and expect to be back today Scott is -- bear and the brown can stop the run they are -- in the -- giving up a 155 yards a game four point six yards out. Angles are undefeated in division five and out for an wanna get red -- failure. Against the Browns in the overtime for meeting yeah your right to the big favorite they have been since 1990. But the Browns -- you know a -- that. Every week against Detroit I mean this is a team and it five often touchdowns in their previous fifteen games. I say you don't -- the angles I'm looking for them to rebound being here with a dominating defense at -- I mean. Remember we were just talking about the brown being out and -- looking miserable on Monday night two weeks ago against Baltimore. I think the Bengals are gonna win that one and a low scoring game. I can see this one being somewhere like -- ward at 324. To seven it's going to be ugly -- Al again to watch. But I'll lay the points I bet on my out now. But I am gonna go the other way would I know you love that the other -- not know at all angle gain apart -- you know what they say good. Things must come to an end including this segment we're gonna take a short break and when we return even I want -- knowing when the place about why it's a crucial stop -- for the best price. And we're going to be looking at Sunday's Colts Ravens seem surprising."
" you can't beat Fleury and guys that got an amazing for all appropriated. I've -- out DiMarco general manager the world's largest sports handicapping web site nation dot com. Leaning sport in campers how would you like to get their way. Murray Britain every day today tomorrow and the next day three for three days the plays a rat -- In -- O'Brien jolt ice and currently Sutton."
" And -- antelope."
" All six handicapping experts -- argue or sorry for the next three days to go to picnics and dot com click on the jury three day trial and that's all you got to do guys. All of their way for three -- or worry at."
" And dot com and when I -- parade I mean it's."
" I guys how DeMarco back Hebrew and it is halftime this is the part of the show. We like to give our advice from a gambling perspective me of course taking it from and a tapper. Viewpoint I'd been handicap now for 25 years -- of course a former book maker. The creator of the father shall we say of the offshore sports book industry Steve. You know this week I wanna talk. A little bit about the importance of knowing when to bed at a -- what your betting favorite and underdog in the importance as well. A shopping around and particularly going back to Andy's game. With Indianapolis and Baltimore. I don't think you'd have to BO rocket scientist to realize that. You know the important up betting favorite early waiting until the last minute the -- an underdog and yet. I think there's a line of people out there don't grant sat on sat down in the audience."
" They don't understand that the public is always gonna -- the paper so that. That line that they've relies gonna keep going up there's no -- written go specially you get close games all of you love a favorite. And you know when you pointed out Wednesday or Thursday you're always gonna be advantageous -- bet that line Wednesday -- Thursday through there -- the only injury that you're not aware of but over the course of the year how many late injuries really dropped -- wrap your plate not Manny and picked up public. I'm talking the Colts. I'm talking the Patriots and talk the viewers the Eagles are public team. Not talking can't be -- guy. That line is gonna escalate more because more the betting public is going to be on it. Now if at especially towards playoff time when he went when people all over are adopting -- their team as a -- athlete that option of teams all year right and you see this."
" You know -- even college football well you'll gain power up empowerment is what I'm saying is basically you'll games move in college. 234. Point. From Tuesday to Saturday can -- it happens every week. For at least a dozen games and you'll need to favored -- up were -- again like you if you are a link that paper that you like you've got to hammer early in the week. Now and for. If you need an underdog and -- it is true but the play early. And especially if you're going against one of the public and you know we talked about the value of buying it yet point. On certain number what do you get the ball -- it is right exactly what -- and the money for especially when you know if you're on the underdog you're gonna get more than at that point we're sorry you've got to make sure that you -- spot and you know -- market timing but use of your advantage back in the old days you know. As gamblers and gamblers RBs would always have bookmakers in different because in those these data we need towards the home team so you had a bookie in Miami and you will look at the bed again Miami you could get that completed a lot of Miami and take the extra point with the Internet. That advantage has gone away he got to be a little you know sharper and add more vigilant in getting your lines but you mentioned something about the Internet we now. That there are placed on the Internet there are certain sports book. And we never about recommendations -- joint where where that where it's cold where it would only have soccer's player -- are always gonna haven't -- lines on the favorite. Absolutely and there's one. Big book out there and it always in -- the favorite. I had good solid -- guarantee sometimes by as much as a point. And I want you specifically the Colts game last week against the Ravens every place this game wise Indianapolis point point enhance. Not at this place this place was 20 and a half hands down from Friday through Sunday kick off now with. If you were playing the favorite in that game that is not the play one of the plight but it you're on the Ravens. God almighty and you wanted to go over the air and you wanted to definitely buy up the -- point and you've got to the three point out of that lot."
" Customers get lazy don't wanna open that a cat up last minute you know brings me to the next to give a little plug to the golden nugget if you downtown -- the difference between betting on the strip. Ever try to go from one hotel to the other on the trip up the F a later around that thing down the street -- X rays walk across the street. It's impossible you know downtown you've got to you know conglomerate of about eight or nine good casinos and that all of five up from each other very easy twenty minutes to get around -- get all their lives all all LeRoy put a lot of people don't know about is downtown there one of the biggest -- been around. Fifty years that's another great -- again they don't and in line with all the other hotels that they Selig he should be or even if everywhere else has three they're gonna before they trust their in house bookmakers."
" More than the three. Right and that you know that's very you've got to have multiple sources with your mind but the local time with your playing. Off shore or when you're in Vegas and Steve and I mean that as one of the big things about playing downtown. It's why we like that nugget I mean -- literally you walk down the Nuggets front door and her five at the sports -- literally no more than one minute wait a walk. You do not do that on the trip help you can get to the front door of some of the team is on the Strahan actually -- you know and ten minutes it takes you. Then you gotta -- taxing good luck if you think you're gonna debate boulevard ten minutes. Lucky guys that's why the big guy the sharp -- they're -- the big. That's why they have runners you can afford to have where those runners pay down -- I was at the golden nugget last week for my birthday to open up that new -- are unbelievable like in on the trip only -- down pat which is a much better and that's talk about the go to another matter of fact guys if you want a chance to win an absolutely. Very high world it's weekend. Thanks to us and the golden -- Then just go to our site right now look at the top of the page and our free giveaway contest because once every thirty days. We are giving away high Wohlers weekend. And what a phenomenal package it -- great and -- the whole tell -- greatly from the gambling and point. From an accommodation -- what -- able -- my favorite black cat he'll actually I love you I'll be down there soon. My body ready honey. But can't -- and listen guys here's what you get one. 31 winner every thirty days gets a high world suite at the golden nugget and town. You ought to get the IP check and you get VIP limo service to and from the airport and you get BIP ticket as well to Gordon Brown's love that show great radio show that extra shot exactly and that's -- golden -- theater and that is all -- we are giving it away once every 31. Lucky winner and he's the that's part of the contest -- There is no purchase necessary. You just go click on the informing link right at the top of our web site you and -- in your email address information required and once a month some wings at packaged for its war I doubt it's where you go and everything about the golden nugget is how big used to be. And sports book co intimate not an auditorium. Like how many the -- Williams arc on the trip which are very -- another I wanna go watch game."
" Yet and I agree and you know in general if I can say anywhere I want and we -- done this deal with any hotel we wanted. We -- the golden -- were reason we've played there if you wanna play with us hang with the -- there -- a big party January 8 at the eleventh. For the playoffs you go to -- night lineup we're going to be there with all the handicap -- hanging at the pool play black -- all the pretty way to that there should be a lot of fun."
" Oh again and again to summarize about a -- that will not. Out yet unbelievable. Now is an awesome play and again to sum up. Very important when you're looking -- line think about it. If you isolating a paper get down as soon as possible on the goes specially for the playoffs especially for the upcoming college ball action. Especially in the college ball like about the guys. If you're going to -- college balls action you're gonna need to -- lines posted 34 weeks before the games are being played. Now occasionally you pointed out something you're going to see mentions. You're gonna see the guys that are going to be kicked off the need for one reason or another but very rarely are the key key players quarterbacks running back -- like that. You are sometimes than -- coaches that are gonna announce they're gonna leave and they're not gonna coach or team at 60% of the time it'll be -- it exactly exactly out. Don't be hesitant to get down early could always leader comment and the or hedge exactly war I don't know exactly to -- side either way exactly out. Make sure that you get an early if you're on the paper look perhaps to wait for the last minute you're on the dog have multiple sources the plight. And then the other thing really is -- get up get out go to all the hotel. Where the Lions are and do what's best for you in the long run it really helped rally shop til you drop because -- make money in this business and can't wait for the ones come to you you've got to go to maligned guys will be back -- just a moment got two more games right now. Chargers -- Panthers. We'll be back --"
" the world's largest -- cat went right. Pick -- back I'm wanting committed the talking about lot -- mine I played in May take it from me. Only one hold out that captors the FB yeah. And at the all new golden nugget hotel casino in wonderful down now I may -- right and get it highlight. Afraid because once a month. It may not -- we're gonna elect one lucky winner or even in the IP I wrote a weekend getaway. At the golden -- a look at how that lucky winner at high -- week the acting levels are -- and from the airport VIP jacket. And VIPs the Gordon Brown throw only at the golden nugget at all rate and here's the bad part this content. Absolutely free and there no -- that's very go to picnics and dot com click on the VIP weekend getaway Lee. In the top right corner and -- email address and your info. And you can be the next lucky winner were given away or three arrows weekend once a month. Don't know. -- little larger lot may get all three. Only at the golden nugget."
" Third quarter ready to kick off how DeMarco back with you along with Steve Goodman. Next came up San Diego in Kansas City the Chargers the big double digit home favorite charges have won five straight pound there 32 that the ring road round of the Broncos meanwhile Kansas City. -- that I'm in two great wins following the 2724. Overtime upset of yours which one of these hot teens or even back here."
" Both these teams won big games last week. Can it up at a -- are asked to be the highlight of the season OR while the Chargers in the -- impressive but warming yet. Completely -- the Broncos on both sides of the ball last week that they opened that in our our way. NBA -- he -- but the most impressive thing about their game in Denver was the that they'd be -- or count them read it over something -- lap amid an arm there equation so far this season. -- only question here is will the Chargers opera let down after their fifth straight win or what they continue to roll I don't like this game because KC. Really earned -- back court all those point against Pittsburgh last week I'm await that -- I know you feel that comment on the watch opening -- and continue to play well on the take over the posted total of 45."
" That's interesting I think you're giving Kansas City a little too much respect and his game because you know I look at -- game last week. And I watched the look at the box score I the Steelers had 515. Total yards case he had to 82 and then regulation. Had the ball eighteen -- Kansas City. Had a 463 to 206 total yards advantage. The key then -- interceptions and another kick off return given up by the -- special teams. Seventeen of the twenty Evan can't any point -- and gave them. And Matt Cassel four completions in the first half of that game meanwhile that and a gaggle winning streak five in a row it all started with a big win. I can't be 377. In which Philip Rivers was eighteen for 3268. Yards and three TDs help in that game. 23 carries of anyone -- he's played much better for a guy who seemingly was over the hill early in the season. Task so and that game again -- ten for my spot 97 yards interceptions. I think Chargers know look ahead. With the Browns next on schedule. I don't I don't think it goes over I would be more than willing to -- had been haven't done my head tell lay the points with the Chargers and point eight Norv Turner. I'll lay the points and Diego you'll take the over. Neither one of a watch this game though it now I think skip this one guys we're gonna take a quick commercial break one would return aren't asking on the board. The Jets Carolina Panthers contest."
" it can't be green and guys that got an amazing for all appropriated. I've won I'm out DiMarco general manager of the world's largest sports handicapping web site nickname in dot com. Leaving sports handicap or how would you like to get their way. Murray Britain three days today tomorrow and the next day sorry for three days the plays a rat -- In -- O'Brien -- I currently Sutton today McNeal and -- antelope all six handicapping. Experts -- nation aren't -- for the next three days to go to picnics and dot com click on the jury three day trial and that's all you got to do guys. All of their place for three days or worry at it nascent dot com and when I say operate. I mean it's."
" I told you we'd be right back out DiMarco here -- once again it was Steve Goodman our last game today. Okay it's not one of the greatest games on the board but guys you can better than when it that's all that matters is to Jackson Carolina. And let's get right to it listen. The New York coming off another -- 3114. At New England Carolina meanwhile two extra day -- because to -- ago they were up at as a three and a half point favorite 2417. By the Miami Dolphins. Yet here we have a team that and one. Walk straight up and -- delaying three point com. Why because they're the home field team other -- the usual three points from bag which way do you go as a bookmaker you know that's why they're given the three point."
" I mean they are a former New York resident that it yet he's in -- over ride -- knows that that -- was crying in the New York papers no it. But the Carolina Panthers can still get a wild clobber. Jet quarterback Mark Sanchez is coming up another horrible performance last week with four interceptions that New England. Single handedly delivered the cover the my customers who all have. The Patriots courtesy of my -- crew that season the -- group or improved to eight. Picked for -- would barely so far Carolina cornerback. Jake DelHomme has gone from and it caused the current when it comes -- given the ball away with -- only one interception. In the last four games as opposed to thirteen and all gained prior Rex Ryan these bad wow go to blitz like crazy. I know it you know it let me let you down a little secret. Carolina knows it to do and they're gonna be ready. And that's why I think the dog covers for -- a great time when the Panthers take that deal -- about I have -- half a point make Carolina three and a half point -- upgrade -- point road -- and taken here in the."
" And by the way to a little little plug your coaster -- a crew there your -- recruit today they've got one or number -- in Arizona. And a heck of a lot better game and that's how we're talking about let me tell yeah. Now as for -- on this game I've got to tell you know I was crying with Rex prime of the season because my Jets -- on sports net New York in now. On TV and uptight I couldn't find a winner and -- the Jets but like you. And the co -- I wanna get them last week and thank you Tom Brady for that last touchdown pass in the final quarter of their to get me the cover last week. I look at this and I think that you know the Jets have the number two rushing attack inning and a towel under 63 -- Thomas Jones four point six yards a carry. Against Carolina rushing defense it's ranked one in the league and here he would back Carolina rushing defense. Two games ago actually three games ago the -- game they played without. They're starting outside linebacker Tom -- out of the season. And in the -- Julia pepper and about and broke his hand -- that limited his playing they cleavage on pass rushing downs. Well in those last couple games certainly. The rushing defense given up a 179. Yards a game and five games prior and short two game. And her ex games of the season 143 yards a game so this -- keen not to run the Jets are gonna use Tom Jones here. I'm looking for and says it's Carolina -- have much of a rushed even with Peppers healthy and the lineup. To get a little bit of a breather here. I -- down to 21 half point and I'm gonna go with the Jets here as to 21 point drop. So we don't agree on much in the -- I can tell you that much right here. Together today -- have a good day yeah we we -- like Miami against Buffalo. Otherwise on Cincinnati Cleveland on taking the angles you're on the grounds. In the -- at Kansas City contest you like the over meanwhile I'm on a lady who touchdowns with the Chargers. And on the Jets panther tell you like the dog you're buying up to three and a half I'm gonna go with the Jets on buying down to two and a half. Now -- do it for today show member you can get all your scores odd injuries weather reports and more respect. Every time you need everything you need to be wondered today from -- on line. And make sure you catch -- I was even break down the season's latest marquee game between new England and New Orleans festivities here absolutely last team the next on the Patriots -- thinking we were both on them against Indianapolis -- tune in tomorrow right here. From Monday night previous."
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